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Red99
212954.4
621716.8
284762.0
Blue56
254926.2
282333.4
753013.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194900501502503009956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
44Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points0
99Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#19
62.04.9
74.870.0
Auto15.1
Teleop38.4
End8.5
red by 28.6
33.42.2
40.037.8
Auto9.3
Teleop21.6
End2.4
Second
2129
#12
54.44.9
56.851.9
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
red by 28.2
2549
#31
26.22.4
30.427.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End2.3
Third
6217
#15
16.84.9
28.223.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End3.0
red by 3.3
13.62.2
18.516.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed