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Red34
52752.9
485913.2
205248.2
Blue95
253057.3
216921.6
42399.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851360501002002503003495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
2Coral scored#14
7Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
11Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points4
34Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#22
48.22.8
43.941.0
Auto10.5
Teleop31.4
End6.2
blue by 9.1
57.31.1
64.563.5
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End9.1
Second
4859
#32
13.23.1
21.718.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 8.4
2169
#33
21.61.1
31.230.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Third
5275
#35
2.92.8
10.98.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End0.8
blue by 6.9
4239
#28
9.81.1
11.510.4
Auto1.7
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned