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Red65
25318.2
361012.7
61668.9
Blue54
52752.9
392623.2
388344.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13970501502006554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
30Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
24Foul points6
65Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.9
7.88.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.9
blue by 31.6
3883
#16
44.32.3
40.237.9
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
Second
6166
#23
8.90.9
15.616.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End3.1
blue by 14.3
3926
#14
23.22.3
27.625.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End2.9
Third
2531
#17
8.20.9
-0.70.1
Auto0.2
Teleop7.3
End0.7
red by 5.2
5275
#35
2.92.3
8.15.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed