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Red51
882120.0
340720.5
25127.7
Blue45
52531.2
254926.2
42399.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787840601001205145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+4Teleop
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
40Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
51Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.4
17.316.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
blue by 10.6
525
#36
31.22.5
39.236.6
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End2.4
Second
8821
#20
20.01.4
29.227.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End0.2
blue by 6.2
2549
#31
26.22.5
27.925.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End2.3
Third
2512
#27
7.71.4
12.811.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 2.1
4239
#28
9.82.5
10.47.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed