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Red70
310038.0
282333.4
253057.3
Blue90
534841.1
222730.0
5541-0.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169670501001502002503007090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
+12Endgame
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
28Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points32
70Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.34.6
63.558.9
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End9.1
red by 16.2
5348
#26
41.10.9
45.945.0
Auto6.5
Teleop29.0
End5.6
Second
3100
#10
38.04.6
37.532.9
Auto1.2
Teleop30.6
End6.1
red by 8.0
30.00.9
23.822.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End5.0
Third
33.44.6
37.833.3
Auto9.3
Teleop21.6
End2.4
red by 34.2
5541
#34
-0.80.9
2.41.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop1.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed