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Red69
534841.1
42399.8
419826.5
Blue118
472869.5
61668.9
621716.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221228010014016069118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
38Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points8
69Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#26
41.12.6
52.650.0
Auto6.5
Teleop29.0
End5.6
blue by 28.4
69.50.8
66.665.8
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
Second
4198
#13
26.52.6
32.730.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End7.2
red by 9.7
6217
#15
16.80.8
29.628.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End3.0
Third
4239
#28
9.82.6
16.914.3
Auto1.7
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
red by 0.9
6166
#23
8.90.8
19.418.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned