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Red90
250224.0
388344.3
266714.7
Blue101
282333.4
52752.9
340720.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207505010015020025090101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+23
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
6Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#12
30Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
54Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points12
90Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#16
44.32.4
42.940.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
red by 11.0
33.40.1
39.839.9
Auto9.3
Teleop21.6
End2.4
Second
2502
#24
24.02.4
28.626.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
red by 3.5
20.50.1
17.117.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
2667
#21
14.72.4
29.026.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End0.9
red by 11.8
5275
#35
2.90.1
10.710.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned