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Red122
5541-0.8
472869.5
298750.1
Blue43
266714.7
52531.2
485913.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1307705010015020012243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+69Endgame
+79Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
87Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
10Foul points0
122Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.51.2
65.163.9
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
red by 38.4
525
#36
31.23.1
34.331.2
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End2.4
Second
50.11.2
44.743.5
Auto11.1
Teleop31.7
End7.3
red by 35.4
2667
#21
14.73.1
21.518.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Third
5541
#34
-0.81.2
1.80.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop1.1
End-0.7
blue by 14.1
4859
#32
13.23.1
18.115.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed