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Red63
419826.5
216921.6
392623.2
Blue131
222730.0
388344.3
212954.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7613905010020025030063131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+66
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +48
8Coral scored#18
29Coral points63
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
37Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#10
2L3#7
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
63Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#13
26.50.9
24.924.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End7.2
blue by 27.9
2129
#12
54.40.8
50.651.4
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
Second
3926
#14
23.20.9
25.124.2
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End2.9
blue by 21.1
3883
#16
44.30.8
39.840.6
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
Third
2169
#33
21.60.9
24.323.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 8.4
30.00.8
25.626.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned