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Red39
534841.1
304214.7
52752.9
Blue42
753013.6
25127.7
284610.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81260501001502002503942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
4Coral scored#5
15Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
21Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points8
39Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#26
41.11.8
43.041.2
Auto6.5
Teleop29.0
End5.6
red by 27.6
13.60.0
11.611.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Second
3042
#25
14.71.8
15.814.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End1.2
red by 4.2
2846
#18
10.60.0
10.710.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Third
5275
#35
2.91.8
4.62.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End0.8
blue by 4.8
2512
#27
7.70.0
9.59.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed