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Red123
310038.0
313065.6
254926.2
Blue144
253057.3
266714.7
472869.5
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331700100200300400500123144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
18Processor points18
16Net points32
34Algae points50
73Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#30
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points6
123Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.6
62.962.3
Auto12.8
Teleop41.1
End11.7
blue by 4.0
69.51.0
66.165.1
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
Second
3100
#10
38.00.6
32.932.3
Auto1.2
Teleop30.6
End6.1
blue by 19.3
57.31.0
58.957.8
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End9.1
Third
2549
#31
26.20.6
25.424.8
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End2.3
red by 11.5
2667
#21
14.71.0
22.521.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned