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Red106
388344.3
304214.7
387122.6
Blue7
882120.0
266714.7
621716.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8766020401001201401601067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+75Teleop
+81Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +66
12Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
66Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
4L3#0
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#0
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
18Foul points0
106Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#16
44.30.8
40.641.4
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
red by 24.4
8821
#20
20.03.7
23.720.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Second
3871
#11
22.60.8
21.822.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End3.3
red by 5.7
6217
#15
16.83.7
20.516.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End3.0
Third
3042
#25
14.70.8
14.014.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End1.2
red by 0.1
2667
#21
14.73.7
18.414.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed