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Red82
534841.1
52531.2
284610.6
Blue130
212954.4
313065.6
392623.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8817005015020025030082130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+34
Endgame+42
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#19
39Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
63Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points6
82Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#26
41.10.1
41.241.1
Auto6.5
Teleop29.0
End5.6
blue by 24.4
65.61.0
63.762.7
Auto12.8
Teleop41.1
End11.7
Second
525
#36
31.20.1
31.231.2
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End2.4
blue by 23.2
2129
#12
54.41.0
51.450.4
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
Third
2846
#18
10.60.1
10.610.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
blue by 12.6
3926
#14
23.21.0
24.223.2
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned