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Red54
453620.9
61668.9
284762.0
Blue115
205248.2
340720.5
310038.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113114608010012014016054115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
32Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points6
54Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#19
62.03.3
63.760.4
Auto15.1
Teleop38.4
End8.5
red by 13.8
2052
#22
48.20.9
44.445.3
Auto10.5
Teleop31.4
End6.2
Second
4536
#30
20.93.3
24.921.6
Auto0.9
Teleop18.4
End1.6
blue by 17.0
3100
#10
38.00.9
32.333.2
Auto1.2
Teleop30.6
End6.1
Third
6166
#23
8.93.3
15.311.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End3.1
blue by 11.6
20.50.9
18.619.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned