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Red52
205248.2
5541-0.8
254926.2
Blue127
298750.1
25318.2
419826.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7880406010012052127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+59
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
43Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#7
1L3#2
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points16
52Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#22
48.21.4
45.343.9
Auto10.5
Teleop31.4
End6.2
blue by 1.9
50.12.5
43.546.1
Auto11.1
Teleop31.7
End7.3
Second
2549
#31
26.21.4
27.626.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End2.3
blue by 0.3
4198
#13
26.52.5
24.026.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End7.2
Third
5541
#34
-0.81.4
0.6-0.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop1.1
End-0.7
blue by 9.0
2531
#17
8.22.5
5.68.2
Auto0.2
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned