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Red27
250224.0
61668.9
282333.4
Blue22
216921.6
485913.2
25127.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834901001502002722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
27Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.43.0
33.030.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.6
End2.4
red by 11.7
2169
#33
21.61.7
23.321.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Second
2502
#24
24.03.0
27.024.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
red by 10.8
4859
#32
13.21.7
15.013.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
6166
#23
8.93.0
11.98.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End3.1
red by 1.2
2512
#27
7.71.7
9.57.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed