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Red173
472869.5
205248.2
340720.5
Blue189
298750.1
310038.0
212954.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146143100120160180173189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +18
18Coral scored#26
66Coral points92
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#7
18Processor points18
36Net points28
54Algae points46
120Total teleop138
Reef
11L4#11
6L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
173Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.50.9
65.966.9
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
red by 15.1
2129
#12
54.41.2
50.451.6
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
Second
2052
#22
48.20.9
43.944.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.4
End6.2
blue by 1.9
50.11.2
46.147.3
Auto11.1
Teleop31.7
End7.3
Third
20.50.9
18.919.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
blue by 17.4
3100
#10
38.01.2
33.935.2
Auto1.2
Teleop30.6
End6.1