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Red176
222730.0
388344.3
313065.6
Blue132
253057.3
361012.7
284762.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149141100120160180176132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +32
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
12Processor points12
32Net points20
44Algae points32
118Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#6
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
176Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.9
62.763.5
Auto12.8
Teleop41.1
End11.7
red by 3.6
2847
#19
62.00.1
61.261.2
Auto15.1
Teleop38.4
End8.5
Second
3883
#16
44.30.9
41.442.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
blue by 13.0
57.30.1
56.456.5
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End9.1
Third
30.00.9
27.128.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End5.0
red by 17.3
12.70.1
11.911.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.9