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Red184
298750.1
310038.0
212954.4
Blue181
222730.0
388344.3
313065.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14614350100200250184181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points85
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#6
18Processor points6
32Net points24
50Algae points30
130Total teleop115
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#10
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
184Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#12
54.41.1
51.652.7
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
blue by 11.2
65.61.1
63.564.6
Auto12.8
Teleop41.1
End11.7
Second
50.11.1
47.348.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.7
End7.3
red by 5.8
3883
#16
44.31.1
42.343.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
Third
3100
#10
38.01.1
35.236.3
Auto1.2
Teleop30.6
End6.1
red by 8.0
30.01.1
28.029.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End5.0