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Red137
11161.7
525328.8
224047.5
Blue133
613230.6
238336.8
591342.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811680100140180200220137133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
96Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#8
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
137Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
61.70.0
61.461.4
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
red by 18.8
42.90.7
42.343.1
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
Second
47.50.0
47.247.2
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
red by 10.7
36.80.7
36.337.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
5253
#33
28.80.0
28.528.5
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
blue by 1.8
6132
#18
30.60.7
30.130.8
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2