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Red148
11161.7
525328.8
224047.5
Blue105
591342.9
238336.8
613230.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15611780100140180200220148105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points42
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
24Processor points12
28Net points12
52Algae points24
104Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
148Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
61.70.3
61.461.7
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
red by 18.8
42.90.2
43.142.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
Second
47.50.3
47.247.5
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
red by 10.7
36.80.2
37.036.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
5253
#33
28.80.3
28.528.8
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
blue by 1.8
6132
#18
30.60.2
30.830.6
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2