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Red76
569028.1
229031.1
321214.1
Blue54
250123.4
604710.8
11216.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7468204060801001207654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
51Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points0
76Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.121.7
38.717.0
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 7.7
2501
#22
23.42.2
20.918.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Second
5690
#20
28.10.8
27.126.3
Auto5.6
Teleop21.4
End1.1
red by 11.5
112
#46
16.72.2
26.624.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Third
3212
#21
14.10.8
17.316.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 3.3
6047
#27
10.82.2
14.812.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed