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Red43
223923.5
141025.5
675831.1
Blue72
247234.0
25138.3
369116.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85640501001504372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +30
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
25Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points12
43Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6758
#28
31.13.9
20.116.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
blue by 2.9
34.00.2
23.323.5
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
Second
1410
#47
25.53.9
29.025.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
red by 8.9
3691
#45
16.70.2
17.717.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Third
2239
#49
23.53.9
23.319.4
Auto3.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
red by 15.2
2513
#52
8.30.2
16.817.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned