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Qual 192025 Northern Lights Regional
Red48
616013.6
1017321.9
1047419.8
Blue117
11161.7
238336.8
141025.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50110010015020048117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+43
Endgame+63
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points6
48Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10173
#43
21.90.1
12.3→12.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 39.8
111
#2
61.72.1
42.0→44.1
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
Second
10474
#31
19.80.1
16.9→16.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
blue by 17.1
2383
#6
36.82.1
29.7→31.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
6160
#39
13.60.1
19.7→19.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
blue by 12.0
1410
#47
25.52.1
20.5→22.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned