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Red88
25138.3
423029.2
702132.8
Blue95
453122.4
321214.1
224047.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90874060801001201401608895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#17
33Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
59Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
88Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#23
32.80.6
33.734.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 14.7
47.50.8
33.233.9
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
Second
4230
#17
29.20.6
30.831.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
red by 6.8
4531
#13
22.40.8
27.027.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Third
2513
#52
8.30.6
14.915.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 5.8
3212
#21
14.10.8
15.916.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned