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Red123
591342.9
329814.9
247234.0
Blue58
11216.7
217718.1
305418.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8258010015020012358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
94Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
123Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.94.4
32.536.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
red by 24.6
3054
#26
18.21.0
12.411.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
34.04.4
23.528.0
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
red by 15.9
2177
#32
18.11.0
17.616.6
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Third
3298
#25
14.94.4
15.019.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 1.7
112
#46
16.71.0
22.821.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed