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Red72
572015.2
388325.8
302311.3
Blue73
613230.6
462319.7
250123.4
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646001001502002503007273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
47Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
72Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#19
25.80.5
23.023.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
blue by 4.8
6132
#18
30.60.1
20.120.2
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2
Second
5720
#53
15.20.5
15.516.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 8.1
2501
#22
23.40.1
20.620.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Third
3023
#50
11.30.5
16.016.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 8.5
4623
#36
19.70.1
10.910.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed