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Red108
253122.8
421518.5
249142.9
Blue66
304211.2
400935.5
704819.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78540204010012014010866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
80Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
108Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#10
42.92.8
27.430.2
Auto10.2
Teleop31.7
End1.0
red by 7.4
4009
#38
35.50.6
23.824.4
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
Second
2531
#24
22.82.8
22.625.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 3.5
7048
#34
19.30.6
14.014.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Third
4215
#29
18.52.8
18.120.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.2
red by 7.3
3042
#41
11.20.6
14.415.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed