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Qual 262025 Northern Lights Regional
Red37
525328.8
297712.2
604710.8
Blue60
533916.9
523222.3
436020.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362203040507080901003760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
27Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
37Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#33
28.82.5
19.4→16.8
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
red by 6.5
5232
#15
22.30.1
26.8→26.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
Second
2977
#42
12.22.5
20.7→18.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 8.7
4360
#16
20.80.1
16.6→16.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
Third
6047
#27
10.82.5
13.7→11.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 6.1
5339
#51
16.90.1
12.0→12.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed