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Red87
369116.7
604415.1
205242.1
Blue44
704112.1
642025.0
229031.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755501001508744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
17Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
50Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
87Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.7
37.739.4
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
red by 11.0
31.10.9
17.016.1
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Second
3691
#45
16.71.7
16.518.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 8.3
6420
#14
25.00.9
20.319.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.6
Third
6044
#40
15.11.7
11.112.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 3.0
7041
#48
12.10.9
14.813.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned