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Red136
224047.5
462319.7
11161.7
Blue72
141025.5
247234.0
11216.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058320406012014016013672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
87Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
12Foul points0
136Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
61.73.3
44.147.4
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
red by 27.7
34.00.7
28.027.3
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
Second
47.53.3
33.937.2
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
red by 22.0
1410
#47
25.50.7
22.621.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
Third
4623
#36
19.73.3
10.914.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.9
red by 3.1
112
#46
16.70.7
21.821.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed