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Red58
1047419.8
572015.2
441818.6
Blue60
702132.8
217718.1
616013.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568201001505860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
34Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
58Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.0
16.816.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
blue by 13.0
7021
#23
32.81.2
34.333.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Second
4418
#44
18.60.0
19.019.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
red by 0.5
2177
#32
18.11.2
16.615.4
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Third
5720
#53
15.20.0
16.016.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
red by 1.7
6160
#39
13.61.2
19.618.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned