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Red64
52535.6
321214.1
305418.2
Blue74
1017321.9
388325.8
223923.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686602040801001201406474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
64Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#11
35.60.4
32.032.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
red by 9.8
3883
#19
25.81.8
23.525.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Second
3054
#26
18.20.4
11.411.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 5.2
2239
#49
23.51.8
22.224.0
Auto3.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
3212
#21
14.10.4
16.717.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 7.8
21.91.8
12.214.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned