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Red61
251216.9
400935.5
416610.4
Blue89
253122.8
302311.3
569028.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507602040601001201406189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+28
Endgame+24
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
49Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points6
61Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#38
35.50.3
24.424.7
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
red by 7.3
5690
#20
28.11.0
22.923.9
Auto5.6
Teleop21.4
End1.1
Second
2512
#35
16.90.3
16.116.4
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 5.9
2531
#24
22.81.0
25.426.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
4166
#54
10.40.3
7.98.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 0.9
3023
#50
11.31.0
16.517.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed