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Red68
523222.3
525328.8
250123.4
Blue101
704819.3
238336.8
25138.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747030405060809010011068101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
45Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points24
68Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#33
28.81.9
16.814.9
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
blue by 8.0
36.80.2
31.832.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
2501
#22
23.41.9
20.618.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 4.1
7048
#34
19.30.2
14.614.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Third
5232
#15
22.31.9
26.724.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
red by 14.1
2513
#52DQ
8.30.2
15.615.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned