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Red117
205242.1
436020.8
229031.1
Blue94
675831.1
533916.9
423029.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83660204010012014011794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
85Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
117Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.13.7
39.443.2
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
red by 11.0
6758
#28
31.12.5
16.719.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Second
31.13.7
16.119.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 1.9
4230
#17
29.22.5
31.433.9
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Third
4360
#16
20.83.7
16.620.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 4.0
5339
#51
16.92.5
12.014.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed