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Red47
245018.7
613230.6
704112.1
Blue69
604710.8
421518.5
642025.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6060203040507080904769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+10
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
18Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#9
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points12
47Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6132
#18
30.60.7
20.219.5
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2
red by 5.6
6420
#14
25.00.3
19.419.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.6
Second
2450
#37
18.70.7
16.015.3
Auto2.3
Teleop13.9
End2.4
red by 0.1
4215
#29
18.50.3
20.921.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Third
7041
#48
12.10.7
13.913.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
red by 1.3
6047
#27
10.80.3
11.211.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned