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Qual 352025 Northern Lights Regional
Red130
171619.4
249142.9
369116.7
Blue138
306137.4
459339.4
591342.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561170100150200130138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points56
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
24Processor points18
12Net points24
36Algae points42
104Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
130Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#10
42.96.8
30.2→37.0
Auto10.2
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Level
5913
#4
42.92.3
36.9→39.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
Second
1716
#30
19.46.8
9.0→15.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
blue by 20.0
4593
#8
39.42.3
21.6→23.9
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Third
3691
#45
16.76.8
18.2→25.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 20.8
3061
#3
37.42.3
41.3→43.7
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed