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Red67
572015.2
141025.5
569028.1
Blue80
52535.6
302311.3
223923.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6686020401001201401606780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points32
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
45Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
67Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#20
28.10.6
23.924.5
Auto5.6
Teleop21.4
End1.1
blue by 7.5
525
#11
35.60.7
32.433.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Second
1410
#47
25.50.6
21.922.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
red by 2.1
2239
#49
23.50.7
24.024.7
Auto3.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
5720
#53
15.20.6
16.016.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
red by 4.0
3023
#50
11.30.7
17.618.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed