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Red70
400935.5
305418.2
462319.7
Blue127
1047419.8
224047.5
525328.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59810204010012014016070127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+71
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +78
8Coral scored#19
28Coral points68
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#6
6Processor points24
4Net points24
10Algae points48
38Total teleop116
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#30
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
70Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#38
35.51.8
24.726.5
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
blue by 12.0
47.55.5
37.242.7
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
Second
4623
#36
19.71.8
14.216.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.9
blue by 9.1
5253
#33
28.85.5
14.920.4
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
Third
3054
#26
18.21.8
11.913.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 1.5
19.85.5
16.822.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed