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Qual 392025 Northern Lights Regional
Red74
11216.7
702132.8
436020.8
Blue101
238336.8
253122.8
205242.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821215010015020074101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
57Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points14
74Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#23
32.81.3
33.1→31.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 9.3
2052
#1
42.12.9
43.2→40.3
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
4360
#16
20.81.3
20.3→19.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
blue by 16.0
2383
#6
36.82.9
32.0→29.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
112
#46
16.71.3
21.1→19.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 6.2
2531
#24
22.82.9
26.5→23.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned