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Red49
704112.1
523222.3
423029.2
Blue64
441818.6
247234.0
388325.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8180506070901001104964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
29Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points0
49Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#17
29.22.8
33.931.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
blue by 4.9
34.00.8
27.326.4
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
Second
5232
#15
22.32.8
24.822.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
blue by 3.5
3883
#19
25.80.8
25.324.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Third
7041
#48
12.12.8
13.210.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
blue by 6.5
4418
#44
18.60.8
19.118.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned