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Red76
171619.4
306137.4
421518.5
Blue41
229031.1
25138.3
1017321.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965101502007641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#5
43Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
53Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
76Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
43.743.1
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 6.3
31.11.0
19.818.9
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Second
1716
#30
19.40.5
15.815.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
blue by 2.5
21.91.0
14.013.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
4215
#29
18.50.5
21.220.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.2
red by 10.2
2513
#52
8.31.0
15.814.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed