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Red75
533916.9
613230.6
251216.9
Blue125
591342.9
604415.1
249142.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54105015020075125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +41
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
47Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
12Foul points6
75Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6132
#18
30.61.4
19.520.9
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2
blue by 12.3
2491
#10
42.93.6
37.040.7
Auto10.2
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Second
2512
#35
16.91.4
16.417.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 26.0
42.93.6
39.242.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
Third
5339
#51
16.91.4
14.515.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
red by 1.8
6044
#40
15.13.6
10.013.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed