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Red114
459339.4
675831.1
250123.4
Blue44
329814.9
616013.6
453122.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746802040608010012011444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+50Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points20
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
18Processor points0
8Net points8
26Algae points8
67Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
114Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.44.8
23.928.7
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
red by 17.1
4531
#13
22.42.4
22.019.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Second
6758
#28
31.14.8
19.324.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 16.2
3298
#25
14.92.4
16.514.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Third
2501
#22
23.44.8
18.723.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 9.8
6160
#39
13.62.4
18.416.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed