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Red91
229031.1
525328.8
245018.7
Blue82
388325.8
304211.2
141025.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596601001502009182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
78Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
91Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.13.2
18.922.0
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 5.3
3883
#19
25.82.0
24.426.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Second
5253
#33
28.83.2
20.423.6
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
red by 3.3
1410
#47
25.52.0
22.524.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
Third
2450
#37
18.73.2
14.217.4
Auto2.3
Teleop13.9
End2.4
red by 7.5
3042
#41
11.22.0
11.013.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned