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Red74
250123.4
223923.5
1047419.8
Blue88
453122.4
459339.4
171619.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81732040601001201407488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
59Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
74Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#49
23.50.9
24.723.8
Auto3.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
blue by 16.0
39.41.4
28.730.2
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
2501
#22
23.40.9
23.522.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 1.0
4531
#13
22.41.4
19.721.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Third
19.80.9
22.321.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
red by 0.4
1716
#30
19.41.4
15.316.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed