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Red63
249142.9
251216.9
217718.1
Blue31
25138.3
616013.6
704112.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8239020601001201401606331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
50Total teleop17
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
63Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#10
42.90.9
40.739.8
Auto10.2
Teleop31.7
End1.0
red by 29.3
6160
#39
13.61.1
16.114.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Second
2177
#32
18.10.9
12.811.9
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End1.0
red by 6.0
7041
#48
12.11.1
10.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
Third
2512
#35
16.90.9
17.816.9
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
red by 8.7
2513
#52
8.31.1
14.813.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed