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Red83
523222.3
52535.6
591342.9
Blue67
702132.8
459339.4
421518.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95964060801201408367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
76Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points18
83Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.2
28.528.3
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
red by 3.4
39.43.8
25.021.2
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
525
#11
35.60.2
28.928.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
red by 2.8
7021
#23
32.83.8
37.333.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Third
5232
#15
22.30.2
27.327.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
red by 3.8
4215
#29
18.53.8
21.017.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned