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Red46
416610.4
616013.6
388325.8
Blue110
205242.1
224047.5
297712.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710405015020046110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+58
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points51
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
0Processor points18
4Net points12
4Algae points30
34Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points6
46Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#19
25.82.4
27.525.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
blue by 21.7
47.51.1
29.730.8
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
Second
6160
#39
13.62.4
18.816.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
blue by 28.5
42.11.1
35.436.5
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Third
4166
#54
10.42.4
15.913.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 1.8
2977
#42
12.21.1
22.924.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned